George Bush’s Fatal Flaw

 

Everybody has an opinion about President George Bush.  Most liberals view him as rigid and intractable, incompetent, stupid, a poor communicator, dishonest, a cowboy, etc.  I’ve also talked to many conservatives for whom he can do no wrong… a man of integrity, strength, confidence, unwilling to change course even in the face of public pressure, etc.

It’s all spin.  Everybody sees and hears what they want to see and hear.

So, I’d like to voice my opinion on what’s really going on with President Bush, as I look back on the last 6 years … in light of the Democrats’ rise to power in the congress.

Is Bush incompetent or stupid?

No.  Despite his poor speaking ability, which gives an impression of “simpleness” or “slowness”, George Bush is actually a fairly intelligent man.  In a flat out race, I think Clinton’s IQ would top his.  But if you listen to him when he’s no longer reading the teleprompter, it becomes obvious to me that he’s not the dunderhead some make him out to be.  He’s also surrounded by very smart people … one of the most educated cabinets in a long time. 

Is Bush dishonest?

No.  Every intelligence agency in the world said there were WMD’s in Iraq.  Clinton believed it too.  Once and for all, he didn’t lie about that stuff.  The wire taps, the secret prisons, the military tribunals, Guantanamo Bay … all legal, according to most legal experts.  The Democrats love to say that Bush lied, deceived the nation, cheated, stole the election, broke the law six ways to Sunday, etc … and the media has latched onto these sensational notions.  (I also believe they’re biased, but I’ll get to that at some point in the future.)  But their accusations don’t necessarily make it true.  I’m sure there’ll be hearings, and we can let the judges decide once-and-for-all whether or not wrongdoing was in play.  In the meantime, I really don’t believe he broke the law.  Certainly not intentionally.  I think he was doing what he felt he needed to do to protect the nation.

Is Bush rigid and intractable?

No.  It isn’t that Bush was unwilling to change the course in Iraq, it’s that he honestly doesn’t know what else to do.  He’s got the “stay the course” face on, because he (and his advisers) believe that’s what’s best for the country, for our troops, for the Iraqi people, and for our enemies to hear.  That doesn’t make him dumb or aloof or incompetent, it makes him lost in an excruciatingly difficult position.  And you know what, it makes him like everyone else.  VERY VERY VERY few people, almost NONE in the political arena, have voiced any kind of plan.  I ask again, where is the genius democratic plan that gets us out of Iraq and fixes the woes of the Middle East?  It’s not there – neither with them, nor with Bush.

And that brings us to what I believe his fatal flaw was…

Was he overconfident and naive?

Yes.  Bush believed that if we coyboyed into Baghdad on a white horse (followed by tanks) that the Iraqi people would throw parades in our honor in the streets.  They’d turn in their neighbors who had been working for Sadam.  They’d erect statues in our honor.  They’d gladly adopt our way of life.  Uh … guess again.  We should have known better.  We should have realized that these peoples’ way of life is as deeply entrenched with them as ours is with us.  Actually, probably deeper.  A piece of paper (constitution) doesn’t make a people self-governing, moral, free, ruled by law, etc.  It’s a foundational philosophy that makes that possible.

George Bush should have known that; shouldn’t have over-calculated, shouldn’t have reached beyond our ability to chew what we were biting off.  That he didn’t know, that he did bite off more than he could chew (and took the rest of us with him), was his fatal flaw.

Lastly, a couple caveats…

He didn’t go it alone.  Congress approved all kinds of things.  Many conservatives and some liberals were with him.  I too thought this would be a lot easier.  I think almost everyone did.  Why didn’t we listen to Colen Powell?

Secondly, now that we’re in this mess, almost nobody has been focused on fixing it.  The democrats, the media, all kinds of people have hammered him for every little thinghe’s done.  To watch CNN or MS NBC or read the NY Times, you’d think Bush was the devil – completely incapable of making the slightest correct decision.  Democrats have apposed every single measure Bush has implemented to try to fight the war on terror.  Name one they’ve supported!  Basically, they haven’t helped much; just made sure to be there to call people names and remind us how screwed up the president is.  The war in Iraq has sucked, no question.  And there’s no question in my mind that Bush is responsible to a large degree.  But we as a nation absolutely could have been more positive over the last few years along the way.

So I hope to God the Democrats, now that they’re in power, will stop blaming people and start having a plan.  Let’s hope that doesn’t turn out to be their fatal flaw.

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Election Sweep

Piling on to the other billion people already talking about this today, I figured I need to weigh in.  First of all, in case you missed it, the Democrats took control of the entire congress yesterday. Of the 435 seats in the house, 229 are now dems and 196 are Republicans, leaving 10 still undecided or independent seats – a 33 seat advantage, or 52.6% of the vote.  In the senate, Democrats control 50 seats, and Republicans control 49, and Lieberman (1) is our one-and-only independent, for a total of 100 senators – a 1 seat advantage, or 50% of the vote. 

So, the Liberals will pretty much take every vote in the house, chair all the committees, etc, and Nancy Pelosi’s (news, bio, voting record) values (what I call San Francisco values) come that much closer to being pushed on the rest of us.  In the Senate, absolutely everything will be a brutal fight, ’cause the group’s split right down the middle.  But Harry Reid (news, bio, voting record) will likely be Majority Leader, and the committees there will all be chaired Democrat.

Want detailed results?  Here you go…

My Thoughts (Can we really call it “analysis”?)

After 12 years of a Republican-controlled congress, which (in the mind of at least this conservative) did VERY little to advance conservative policy in this country.  I understand why the country demanded change, even though I don’t think the change will be for the good … especially not in the near term. 

On the up side, the Republican congress cut taxes in very effective ways at very important times, and I believe saved us from what could have been a really nasty economic period following the burst of the tech bubble in 2000, a number of corporate scandals, and 9/11.  Also, welfare reform back in the late 90’s was a big deal.  But the sad truth is that, at the moment, I can’t think of anything else for which to praise them.

On the down side, there’s lots to talk about.  Nothing done on Social Security reform.  Very little accomplished on immigration reform (kudos on the wall, and on not caving to the senate’s pseudo-amnesty-no-enforcement-at-all bill, but that’s about it).  Out of control spending, the crown jewel of which is the brand spankin’ new $800 billion Medicare drug entitlement.  And so forth. 

All in all, as a conservative and a Republican, I’m pretty disappointed.  Not much to show for 12 years of power, especially for the last 6, when we should have been conservatives with a passionate purpose … bending all three branches of government to our wily conservative ways.  Muhahahaha!

But, thanks to naivete and underestimation in the war on terror, an intimidated-gone-too-far-to-stubborn (ready: cowboy) attitude on the part of President Bush, and a severe misunderstanding of how important it is to communicate well with the American people … we have lost the congress.  Now, for the next two years, I believe here’s the agenda we have to look forward to (probably in this order)…

  1. Get out of Iraq as fast as possible
  2. Impeach President Bush
  3. Roll back the tax cuts
  4. Spin up the crazy entitlement spending machine
  5. Get Hillary elected

Doesn’t sound like the best way to spend the next couple years.

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San Francisco Values

Bill O’Reilly recent coined a new term, “San Francisco Values“.  His intention in using this term is to describe the kinds of “far left” or “extremely liberal” values shared by many in ultra-liberal areas of the country like San Francisco.

Both in his recently-released book, Culture Warrior, and on several occasions on television and radio, I’ve heard Bill voice concern that if America as a whole were to be dominated by San Francisco values, that the face of the nation would dramatically change.  Some (probably about 20% of the country) would feel this is for the best, but the overwhelming majority – including O’Reilly and I – would not.

So, on election day, I wanted to use Bill O’Reilly’s definition of San Francisco values to engender debate about these principles and discuss a couple things… 

  1. Are they real?  Do people really believe these things?
  2. Are they being characterized accurately?  Let’s take the spin out of the discussion.  You may need to help me with that.
  3. What would the US look like if these philosophies became the prevailing wisdom in America?

Here’s a list of the ideals Bill describes as “San Francisco values”, along with some of my commentary…

  1. “Cradle to grave entitlements, supported by a ‘punishing’ tax rate” – A significant expansion of what Americans deserve and should expect the government to provide for them.  Universal health care would be a great example.  Taxes would have to increase dramatically to support this move, and the burden would fall mostly on “the rich”.  By the way, here’s a fascinating article about distribution of wealth and income.
  2. “Anti-military sentiment” – In Nov, 2005, San Francisco voters approved a non-binding referendum banning military recruitment in schools.  60% of voters stated firmly that they opposed guns in general and military recruiters in the schools in SF.  Read stories on Advocate.com and edweek.org.
  3. “Legalized drugs” – Many liberals believe that drugs, particularly “softer” drugs like marijuana, should be legalized.  SF and California in general have passed laws legalizing medical marijuana.  Many have abused these laws, and there is a general sense that America would be a better place if drugs were legal.  I thought one site I found was great…  Called ACT UP San Francisco, it opines, “ACT UP San Francisco encourages a healthy lifestyle through vegetarianism, medical marijuana, and questioning the medical orthodoxy.”  So, healthy lifestyle = medical marijuana + a few other things that question the establishments of the culture.
  4. “Unfettered abortion rights” – Many liberals in SF, and around the country, support abortion rights as paramount.  They do not view the unborn fetus as anything but a blob of cells, and feel the mother has the right to do anything she wants to it, because her individual rights trump that of the blob of cells (which has no rights).  The rights of the baby aren’t even considered.  For some, like George Tiller in Kansas, this extends even to late term abortions in which a viable baby can be killed any time up until the umbilical cord is cut, as long as there’s a health threat to the mother — even if that “threat” is that she’s depressed by the pregnancy. 
  5. “No parental notification for abortions” – This is a privacy issue.  Also a paramount ideal of the left.  Nobody can ever be told anything about anyone, or their privacy is violated … no matter what the circumstances.  Especially when it comes to abortion, because it has to be kept legal and unrestricted at all cost.  I know there are abusive parents out there, and most parental notification laws (such as the recent prop 85 in California, which was voted down – articles for and against) account for that with an “abuse exception”.  Also, many of these laws include a statute that allows a judge to overrule the notification law in cases when the girl is “mature enough”.  And given these loopholes, I can’t see why we wouldn’t as a country want 13 year old girls to have their parents notified before they get an abortion — the parent doesn’t even have the legal right to stop them, just be notified, by the way.  They have to give their permission if a 15 year old wants to pierce her ears or get a tatoo, but not to get an abortion?  How does that work?  Answer: it doesn’t — except in San Francisco (metaphorically speaking).  Or, back to the Tiller thing again…  10 year old girls were raped, got pregnant and had abortions in his abortion clinic, but the clinic won’t turn the name of the rapist (not the girl) over to authorities to prosecute.  That’s not privacy, that’s criminally insane.  That’s somewhat different from the parental notification issue, I realize, but under the same conceptual header.  Bill also wrote a column on this recently.
  6. “Rehabilitation instead of punishment for criminals” – Many liberals believe that criminals should be rehabilitated instead of being punished.  This is a blindness to the reality of evil.  Punishment is a deterrent.  It’s this flawed thinking that says we can’t spank our children anymore or that if we just talk to the terrorists everything will turn out okay.  Sometimes (not always) tough measures are required, but not according to San Francisco values.
  7. “Gay marriage” – Many liberals believe that the definition of marriage is too restrictive, and should be expanded to include alternate lifestyles such as homosexual marriage.  I can’t see how it could stop there (and not extend to bigamy, bestiality, etc), given the concept of equal protection under the law, but gay marriage is the only real issue on the table at the moment.  SF is well-known for having defied state law (gay marriage is always defeated by a wide margin when on the ballot and actually voted on, so it has to be “back-doored in” by activist judges) and started issuing gay marriage licenses anyway.  This would be brought to the mainstream if San Francisco values became the law of the land (so to speak).
  8. “Open borders” – San Francisco values dictate that national borders are an outdated concept.  Pretty much everyone from everywhere deserves the same rights that we enjoy as American citizens.  We don’t really have the right to regulate who gets those and who doesn’t.  We’re rich; it’s our obligation to provide for those who aren’t.
  9. “Income redistribution” – Essentially the same issue as open borders or the entitlement system.  Many liberals believe that it’s the government’s responsibility to provide for us, so it’s their responsibility to take what it determines some people don’t need (rob from the rich…) and give it to those whom it determines to need it more (…and give to the poor).  So, it becomes the government’s job to define how much I deserve to have or make, and if it’s too much, then it takes it and gives it to those who aren’t getting their fair share.  As long as we’re just regulating capitalism, it’s one thing, but the more of this we do, the closer we get to socialism, and that makes me nervous.
  10. “No display of religion in the public square” – SF is known for letting militant homosexual groups do things like dress up as nuns in parades and mock catholicism, but not allow a Christmas tree to be called a Christmas tree because it offends people.  If you want to bury the Virgin Mary in cow crap or soak a crucifix in urine and call it art, or demean Jews, or take the word “God” off antying in the public square, or abolish any semblance of Christian symbology during Christmas, then you’re the friend of San Francisco values.  Any religious or philosophical display is fine, as long as it’s not Christian or Jewish, because these are considered hostile to the rest of the values on the list.

So, I’m sure that many will disagree with the way I’ve characterized these.  Some of the discussions we could have could probably be whole topics in and of themselves.  Some we’ve already discussed.  But I thought I’d throw this out there, especially since if the democrats really do take control of the congress today (as many are speculating — and which I do NOT anticipate to happen, just for the record), then we could see some of these values showing up at our front doors.

What say you?

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John Kerry’s Remarks

I know this has been all over the media, and I know it’s a bit aged now that Ted Haggard has taken center stage.  But I wanted to weigh in with a few thoughts…

What happened?  In a recent commencement speech before a graduating class, John Kerry made the following ridiculous comment, “you know education, if you make the most of it, you study hard, you do your homework, and you make an effort to be smart, you can do well. If you don’t, you get stuck in Iraq.”  Of course, many were outraged at the implication that our troops are all a bunch of dunderheads with no other (better) future, so they’re “stuck” in the military.  Here’s my analysis of the situation.

First, remember when Mel Gibson made his asinine, drunken remarks about Jews being the cause of every war in history?  Remember how people debated whether alcohol had caused him to say something stupid that he didn’t really mean or whether he was freed by the alcohol to say what he actually thought, with no inhibitions?  Well, I view the John Kerry thing in the same light.  I *do* believe that both Gibson and Kerry said what they were really thinking.  Mel Gibson was freed up by the booze to spout off, and what came out was a glimpse of the dark anti-semitic thoughts in his heart.  The Bible is clear, “out of the overflow of the heart, the mouth speaks”.  I think Kerry is in the same boat.  No alcohol involved, but I think the principle was the same.

Kerry said this was a joke gone wrong, and he’s probably right.  I’m also sure that he consciously intended the comment to be aimed more at Bush than at the troops (which is how many took it).  I think if he had really thought through the impact that this would have, he wouldn’t have said it.  But here’s the deal.  I think John Kerry does have a pretty deeply ingrained belief that our military leaders are corrupt, and that we generally go to war for invalid reasons (not just to Iraq).  I think he does believe that many of our troops are just that stupid.  And I also think that he is so rich and so privileged and so superior (in his own mind) that he doesn’t really have much of a grasp on the reality of who most Americans are.  Perhaps more inflammatory is this…  I also believe that John Kerry is a man of very little integrity, as demonstrated by his recent run for the presidency.  The whole “flip-flop” thing was very well-deserved.  Never once did I hear him state a principle and then stand by it.  I have very little respect for people, including politicians, who walk around with their finger in the air trying to determine which way the wind is blowing.  This has defined Kerry … except in the case of this particular comment, one might argue.  It’s also my experience that a man with little integrity will project that weakness onto others.  He will assume that others have weak characters as well.

So, do I think John Kerry’s comments really matter that much?  In most ways, no.  In two senses, yes…  First, they demean our military, which has for the most part fought  with honor not only in this war but in many past wars.  These brave men and women keep all of us safe and free, including John Kerry.  That he would make such a dumb comment reflects badly on him and on his political advisers (who should never have let something like that make its way into a speech).  Secondly, I think it has the potential to affect the outcome of this week’s elections.  I think the average American is pretty fed up with this kind of talk.  There’s just no reason for it.  It betrays an underlying bitterness and hatred (of Bush, mostly) that’s so bad that it overrules way too many other things.  Even people who are firmly against the war won’t want to hear Kerry demeaning the troops — even if that’s not really what he intended to do.

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The Rubik’s Cube is No Match for This Bot

Check this out!  A robot designed to solve the Rubik’s Cube.  Maybe I’m more easily impressed than others, but I think this is kinda amazing actually.  It’s the RuBot II.  I’ll take a dozen.

Also, check out the discussion on RoboCommunity.  And no, it’s not a cylon.  😉

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Do We Really Need Public Broadcasting?

Media is one of the most significant forces of the 21st century.  From radio to television to newspapers to movies to magazines to the blogosphere, the average person spends a great deal of time being influenced by the media — particularly the electronic media.  Television, radio and other forms of electronic media fall into two types — public broadcasting and commercial broadcasting.  Public broadcasting is paid for through taxes (hence the term “public”), donations from individuals, and the occasional corporate sponsorship resulting in some advertisement.  Commercial broadcasting is a competitive, capitalistic enterprise paid for by corporations trying to make a profit (predominantly through advertising).

All over the world, public broadcasting was once the only game in town.  In some countries, it still is (most of them run by power-hungry dictators who want to control the flow of information, such as North Korea or Cuba).  But in almost the entire civilized world, commerical broadcasting now plays a significant (if not dominant) role in the world of electronic media.

In America, there are two dominant public outfits left, the Public Broadcasting Service (or PBS) on the television side and National Public Radio (NPR) on the radio side.  One could argue that the Internet is the latest greatest version of publicly-funded media, but that’s another discussion for another time.  Clearly not the same thing, at least.

PBS

PBS originated from the National Eductation Television network, started in the early 50’s to help local producers in “exchanging and distributing educational programs”.  After the Public Broadcasting Act of 1967 established the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, PBS was founded in its current form in 1969, and began broadcasting on October 5, 1970.  A few years later, it absorbed all the educational function of its predecessor.  Now, PBS has approximately 350 member TV stations.

NPR

NPR is the radio equivalent of PBS.  Also a result of the 1967 legislation, NPR was founded on February 26, 1970 to “produce and distribute news and cultural programming”.  NPR has two competitors, the American Broadcasting Network and Public Radio International.  ABN is much smaller, and PRI is actually the largest public outfit in the country.  In fact, much of PRI’s programming is attributed to NPR, and many people do not realize that they are competitors.  In a Harris poll conducted in 2005, NPR was voted the most trusted news source in the US.  Between them, these three organizations bring publicly-funded radio to more than 1,000 radio outlets.

What’s my point?

No, this is not an educational piece on public broadcasting.  My basic thought is that we don’t really need public broadcasting.  I think, if it were up to me, that we would simply eliminate it.  Harsh?  Why?

Well, first of all, it’s unnecessary.  Public broadcasting was created in a time when there weren’t satelite dishes on 3 out of 4 homes, 750 cable stations, and ABC, NBC, CBS and FOX in every house.  Is PBS really that important anymore?  With everything from XM / Syrius radio in the car to so many FM stations in Chicagoland that I can’t find a good spot to which to tune my iPod DLO, don’t you think we could get by without NPR?

Now, if these were commercial outfits, fighting the same survival-of-the-fittest battle that all these other deals I just mentioned were, then I would say leave them alone.  But my problem with them is that they’re funded with money that could go elsewhere.

Public broadcasting in the US is predominantly funded by three things:  dues of member stations, direct government funding, and charitable contribution (from individuals, foundations and the occasional corporation).  And this is a bit misleading since many of the member stations are also funded by government grants, etc.  So, alot of times, the “dues” are just indirect tax money.

Both the government subsidy direct to PBS or NPR and the round-about dues money funded to the member stations come from the Corporation for Public Broadcasting.  This company’s budget in 2006 was just about $500M dollars.  Half a billion.  Proposals are on the table for severe cuts in this budget in 2007 (like 23%), but of course they are being fought tooth and nail.

My question is why?  In a capitalistic society like ours, why should the taxpaper be funding something so unnecessary, when all around it there are a dozen examples of equivalent (or even superior) outfits who don’t get a dime from the public till and survive just fine.  Isn’t it a bit socialist to keep subsidizing these groups?

And on the charitable giving side, couldn’t that money be better used elsewhere?  When the late Ray Kroc’s (founder of McDonnald’s) wife Joan died in 2003, she left NPR $225M from their estate.  And that’s not the first such gift!  First of all, it’s amazing that even with this kind of giving, these deals aren’t self-sufficient, and still require our tax money.  Second of all, it seems unfortunate to me that Ms Kroc’s money couldn’t have gone to cancer or AIDS research … or something that was actually deeply needed.  Obviously, Ms Kroc can leave her money to whomever she likes.  It just doesn’t feel like an unnecessary psuedo-socialistic service like NPR is a great place for such generous giving.

So that’s the scoop. We don’t really need it and it undermines capitalism, so let’s get rid of it and spend the money somewhere else.

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