Step 4: Cast the Vision

Having recovered from a weekend of BBQ bloodlust, I’m ready to resume our discussion about winning the war on terror.  The fourth step in this process is for our leadership to clearly and simply articulate the vision.

  1. What are we doing? 
  2. Why are we doing it? 
  3. Why is it necessary? 
  4. What is our strategy? 
  5. What will the outcomes likely be? 
  6. What’s at stake? 
  7. Who is involved (for good or ill)?

The American people aren’t stupid.  And every leader, if he’s to be followed well (to have his organization behind him), has to clearly paint a picture of where they’re going together … continually, so that everyone knows it readily off the top of their heads … even if they don’t agree with it.  Whether you like it or not, the President of the United States is the leader of the free world — the most powerful and influential man on the planet today.  And in this war on terror, certainly he leads.  Setting aside for a second what President Bush’s policies, ideas, strategies, plans for the war on terror are and whether or not they’re good ones, it would be hard to deny that he’s done a terrible job in communicating them.  I’ve said it before, “Stay the course” is not a plan.  It’s certainly not a well-communicated vision for the future.

We have an incredible responsibility as a nation.  Regardless of what some say, there is a war, and we didn’t start it.  But if we’re to finish it and finish it well, then we need the American people (as well as nations who are on the fence about whether or not to support us) to really get what we’re trying to do here — to believe in it.  I think Bush instilled that kind of trust and confidence right after 9/11, but not any more.  Just about everyone doubts him (the poll numbers make that clear), and I don’t blame them.  How can people not doubt him (and by proxy, our nation), when he barely ever sticks his head out of the oval office to give us a reason not to.  It’s not about whether or not he’s popular or about who’s getting elected for what, it’s about defeating a brutal enemy bent on destroying our way of life.  And the only way to do that in a free and open democratic society like ours is to “win the hearts and minds” of the people (yes, I used that incredibly charged political phrase on purpose). 

This, however, does NOT mean cow-towing to the huddled masses.  Farmer Joe and truck-driver Bob and CEO Fred absolutely DO NOT have all the information necessary to make good decisions about the war.  Neither do I.  On the contrary, the president and his cabinet and his military advisers have the best information there is, and many of them have amazing education and experience through which to interpret that information.  We do not.  I do not.  So, I’m not talking about getting the approval of the arm-chair quarterbacks before doing anything.  I’m talking about leveling with us (we’re the president’s boss), and helping us understand what our military and our diplomats are doing and why.

It’s also not about getting every nation on earth to agree with us.  News flash: They never will.  Most of the nations involved here have quite a bit of self-interest in play (including the US).  And many who claim to be our friends really aren’t.  So, I don’t really care what France and Germany and Russia think of us.  I’m amazed at how many people think that if we were just a little more well-behaved / politically correct, then somehow magically they’d start voting with us in UN Security Council meetings or sending troops into battle where needed.  Look at the joke of a commitment France made to the peacekeeping efforts in the recent Lebanon-Israel conflict.  So, France screamed really loud, and everyone said, “Ok, France, you lead — we’ll do it your way.”  And they responded by demonstrating their vast commitment to peace and freedom and helping other people in the form of 200 troops.  *rolls eyes*  So, I’m not particularly worried about what countries like France think.  I mean with friends like that, who needs Hezbollah.  But legitimate allies — like the UK or Australia — they need to understand (as well as the American people do) our vision for the future as we lead in this fight.  Without it, all that’s left is growing skepticism and confusion.

Here’s what I propose…  The President needs to get on television every week on Sunday night and gave a status report, in which he casts a vision of what we’re doing, why we’re doing it, and where we’re going.  If he did so, don’t you think the American people would be a lot more likely to be willing to follow him?  And it’d make it that much harder for the anti-Bush media here and around the world (and I can’t believe people still argue that the average US newspaper or television networks or certain magazines or certainly a number of state-run foreign media outlets lean liberal — but that’s another topic for another day) from having the only word to say about the war.  They spend SO much time focusing on the negative.  At least this way, there’d be a vehicle for some positive news and some hope for the future to make it out to people.  Of course, I’m not saying the Bush White House should just counter the mainstream negativity with positive-spin propoganda.  That’s not balance.  I’m saying that they should tell us what’s happening.  At least present their side.  And tell us how the mission’s going … WHERE the mission’s going.

As long as Bush gets on TV once a quarter and just says “I believe in freedom, now stay the course!”, then more and more of the American people (ill-informed, with no real understanding of the world and no real vision for how to play out our leadership role in it) will turn against the war and pound the “retreat now so nobody else dies” drum.  As long as the only voice in play is the New York Times (their four op-ed columns wrote over 150 columns about the war on terror and the Bush administration from Feb 2005 through Jul 2006, and of them ZERO were positive), then the whole world will continue to have no alternative but to see us how the newspapers paint us — as imperialist war mongers.  And that’s way too dangerous to be toyed with.  Only Bush, by getting over his fear — or disinterest, or whatever it is — of communication, can turn that around.

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Step 3: Pray

With step 3 (in our discussion of how to win the war on terror in 10 steps), we turn from discussing long term strategic plans to more immediate tactical advice I would give (in all my infinite military experience) to the Bush administration, the Pentagon, and whoever else would listen about the war on terror.  There’ll be 6 of these, then we’ll turn our attention back to the longer-term, but the last 2 suggestions will only be possible given these next 6.

Hoping that wasn’t too confusing, I’ll press on…

The first immediate need we have is for prayer.  If you believe that there is more to this world than chemicals and random chance and that there is a governing authority out there who stands beyond time and is actively involved in the affairs of men (as I do), then appeal to Him for help. 

No matter what I write in these 10 steps, there is no easy path out of where we are.  This is hard stuff, and man’s wisdom is disturbingly limited.  Mine certainly is.  I just don’t see a path to freedom and justice for all, without the wisdom and power of God governing what we do going forward.  On my own, with my own limited insight, I just don’t see how I’d navigate a situation this complex.  I don’t see how Bush could either.  Nor anyone else in this picture with a position of authority.  The teachings of the Bible are imminently relevant in teaching us how to show compassion, in defining freedom, in giving us the courage to face overwhelming odds, in showing us how to love one another.  And communicating with God directly (which is what prayer is — not a ritualistic chant that, if said right, causes some cosmic vending machine to dispense what we asked for) is our most important path to understanding how to interpret what the Bible’s telling us, or in figuring out the answers to questions that aren’t so directly addressed in Scripture.

A great example is this…  Jesus says to love even our enemies and to pray for those who persecute us (Matthew 5:43-45), which is extremely wise but extremely difficult.  And it’s certainly not made any less difficult by the fact that “our enemy” in this case (the war on terror) are brainwashed, psychotic killers sawing people’s heads off on camera.  The fact is that if I were praying for Terrorist Bob, and he walked in the room, he’d kill me and enjoy it and say he was doing it for God.  And Jesus would say that even then, pray for him, turn the other cheek, etc.

This is where we need prayer … not only to be in communion with God, which is what we were designed to do … not only to seek God’s help in dealing with this mess (as He’s said clearly that He wants from us) … but to understand the complexities of this kind of message.  While Jesus was dead serious about this message for individuals, or a church, things change a bit for a government.  If the US (or, without the ocean to serve as a buffer zone, Israel) got all pacifist (which Jesus clearly was), laid down its arms, and said, “Let’s all pray for these poor terrorists who have been brainwashed into hating us and wanting to kill us, and God will save us from their wrath” … then the Jihadists would wipe out every man, woman and child there — already on their knees for easy access to the head-lobbing machetes.  It just doesn’t translate.  So, as a nation we go to war to protect those innocent men, women and children from blood-thirsty killers.  Our soldiers kill people for the greater good — to prevent worse death.  In a fallen, sinful world, it’s the lesser of two evils — a choice thrust upon us by the general state of the sinfulness of the world.

So, we need to pray.  Before we take military action, between climbing out of the cot or the trench and strapping on the sidearm, before entering the pentagon or the oval office for a strategy session, before opening a diplomatic dialogue … We need wisdom beyond our own and vision we couldn’t possibly have naturally … we need to pray.  Before anybody does any of the other things I’m proposing here, I hope they take the time to ask God to help them do it well.  And for mercy, because I think we’re going to need a really healthy dose of that before this thing is over.

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What is a Neo-Con?

I’ve been referred to as a “neo-con” recently (looks at Brad Bull), and that got me to thinking, “Am I a neo-con?”  So, I thought I’d throw this out as a light pallet-cleanser before switching from longer-term war strategies to more immediate ones.  Plus, I thought this’d be a great opportunity to conduct an informal poll of the vast readership of my blog (both of you). 

I have to admit that I have always thought that the term “neo-con” carried a really distasteful connotation, until I looked it up.  The definition wasn’t offensive at all.  In fact, it was very interesting.  I think the weirdness comes from the fact that it’s become a “dirty word” among some liberals the same way “liberal” has become a dirty word among some conservatives.  Very interesting.

Here’s what the Wikipedia has to say about the term “Neoconservative”…

Neoconservatism is a political current and ideology, mainly in the United States, which emerged in the 1960s, coalesced in the 1970s, and has had a significant presence in the administrations of Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush. It is today most closely identified with a set of foreign policy positions and goals: a hawkish stance during the Cold War and, more recently, in various conflicts in the Middle East. At times there have been distinct neoconservative positions in domestic policies; in particular, the first generation of neoconservatives were generally less opposed to “big government” and to social spending than other U.S. conservatives of the time, though they also called for significant restructuring of the goals and methods of many social programs.

The prefix neo-refers to two ways in which neoconservatism was new: many of the movement’s founders, originally liberals, Democrats or from socialist backgrounds, were new to conservatism; neoconservatism was also a comparatively recent strain of conservative thought, which derived from a variety of intellectual roots in the decades following World War II. While some (such as Irving Kristol) have described themselves as “neoconservatives”, the term is used today more by opponents and critics of this political current than by its adherents, some of whom reject even the claim that neoconservatism is an identifiable current of American political thought.

Within American conservatism, the foreign policy of neoconservatism is particularly contrasted to isolationism, especially as found in paleoconservatism. While the neoconservatives share some of the Christian right critique of a purely secular society, this is not as central to their politics as it is for the Christian right, nor are the neoconservative prescriptions always the same as those of the Christian right.

That said, here’s my question…  “Am I a ‘neo-con’?”    (Post your poll response as a comment.)

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Step 2: Better Intelligence

The second very important, very difficult, very long-term step in defeating the incredibly dangerous enemy we face as a nation is to seriously beef up intelligence.  And even though many (including President Bush) tout technology all day long as the answer to national security- and every other kind of problems, I’m not buying it.  We’ve got technology coming out of our ears, but we still can’t stop the insurgency in Iraq or secure the southern border or quell Iran’s or North Korea’s aspirations for nuclear weapons they can hand out to the highest bidder. 

The bottom line is that you can’t beat back evil until you’ve got boots on the ground blending in with it.  Until we have WAY more native- and extremely-well-trained Arabic-speaking operatives infiltrating every corner of the worldwide terrorist network, we’re never going to defeat it. 

  • If we had a guy in the next cave over from Osama, he’d be dead right now.
  • If we had operatives in even 20% of the terrorist cells in Iraq, we’d be twice as far into ending that horrific situation.
  • If we had been inside Al-Qaeda 10 years ago, maybe there wouldn’t have been a 9-11.
  • Etc…

Campus Watch, a fascinating site that watch-dogs the Middle East, published an amazing article on this topic back in 2003.  I think the following quote says it very well…

In the intelligence war, Islamists have a distinct advantage. Among the ranks of Islamist radicals are thousands who have studied in the United States, speak serviceable English, and can move with ease in American society. How many field agents of American intelligence can move at ease in the Islamist milieu? German and British universities once produced spies who could speak half a dozen Arab dialects and recite the Koran from memory. Today’s only superpower cannot recruit enough Arabic translators to handle routine intercepts.

Check out the entire article at:
http://www.campus-watch.org/article/id/921

We’re never going to win this war until we unravel this trend and reverse it.  First, we should spend whatever money is necessary to entice the best and the brightest in the Arabic community into the CIA.  I’m sure we’re already doing some of that.  Whatever efforts are in play there, let’s double them.  However, this isn’t the only action necessary.  Next we have to address the problem that nobody wants to do the work. 

Here’s the rub, and it’s two fold… 

  1. Too many people think America is the problem, and
  2. There’s a definite cross-section of the Muslim world that wants to play out a world domination kill-everyone-not-like-me scenario, who will hate America no matter what we do, because we represent freedom and they hatefreedom.  And of course they would.  Freedom means that people think for themselves instead of strapping bombs on and blowing themselves up for Allah.  (Ever notice that the leaders ordering the strikes are never the ones blowing themselves up.  Hmmm….)

The problem in recruiting the average Muslim today is that they not only don’t believe in America and in her cause of freedom.  Many of them think America is the evil player here, because they’ve been fed that garbage since before they could walk.  And it doesn’t help that there are so many others in America (stemming back to the Vietnam era) who agree and enforce their delusions.  Stack on top of all that the jealousy that exists around the world of this amazingly great nation, and it’s a lethal formula for breeding Jihadists around the world.  So, this has to be fixed.  I know many would advocate giving stuff to the terrorists and others who hate us until they like us more, but I just don’t see how that’s going to work with irrational fanatical killers.  Didn’t work so well the 1930’s.  I think we should learn from that lesson (*shoots piercing look at France*).  Let me unpack it…

Part of having the stomach to fight this war is to realize that can’t have our cake and eat it to — not all the time. You’re going to read this theme a couple of times in my top-ten series.  We’ve gotta be tougher.  This isn’t some game in the fantasy Utopian socialist dreamland that some want to live in.  This is war, and there’s a very real enemy that would dance in the streets if they could wipe out every single man, woman and child on this continent.  

As long as the ACLU is running around with the brevado and the power to call “unconstitutional” anything and everything that makes anyone in America (except white males and Christians, of course — nobody cares about them) feel a little bad, then we’re never going to be able to rally the power necessary to defend ourselves — let alone defeat a brutal enemy.  As long as there are cameras mixed in with Marines so that pundants halfway around the world can arm-chair-quarterback every single call made by every single battle commander, we’re just plain screwed.  As long as liberals can oppose every single program the US government has tried to put in place to fight terrorism since 9-11 just because it’s a Republican executive branch proposing it, and yet never propose any concrete alternative plans, then we’ll never be victorious.  As long as we care more about our own comfort and all the things we feel we’re entitled to, we’re making it a veritable certainty that one of these days Seattle or Philadelphia or Chicago is going up in a blaze of glory we’ll call “9-11 Two, The Cost of Enduring Apathy”.  (It’s okay though; I’m sure Michael Moore will throw together a great “documentary”.)

So, with that introduction rant out of the way, here’s what I think we need to do (and the ACLU is gonna love this)…  Instead of giving them things to try to make them happy in the hopes that they’ll like us more (they’re laughing at us, by the way), we need to drop the hammer on the troublemakers.  Both in America and in Iraq, we need to shut down the militants.  We already have hate speech and sudition crimes on the books.  We’ve gotta start putting them to work.  We do that by profiling the people that are plotting to destroy the free world, and cut off their access to brainwashing their public.  Unless we keep the poison out of the ears and eyes of the average Arabic-American teenager (or Iraqi teenager for that matter), we’ll never be able to recruit them into the service of this country (to whom they owe their freedom and prosperity).  And without better intelligence on the ground in Iran and elsewhere (the result of their service), we may not survive long enough to debate the issue. 

I’m sorry that means cutting off some “free speech” for a select few, but the truth is that it hasn’t been very free lately.  It’s costing us a lot, actually.  And the freedom to say and do what I want was never meant to come without responsibility and cost.  In other words, you don’t have the right to plot to overthrow your government.  If the local Mulla has told little Joey 74 million times by age 16 that America is the Great White Satan, then how effective do you think the FBI or the CIA will be at recruiting him at age 19 to spy on Ahmadinejad in Tehran or on the local Al-Qaeda cell in the Seattle? 

 And I’m not suggesting we start blanket-censoring people with divergent ideas.  This is about harmful and seditious speech.  We put everyday FBI agents (lots of them) on the ground in American masques, and if Fred the Cleric gets all “we hate America” and “death to the Zionists”, then Fred gets removed from his position of authority and thrown in jail.  I know it sounds ugly, but if we don’t stop the brainwashing (and frankly start a little brainwashing of our own in the right direction), we’ll never get anywhere.  Regulating it is important, I agree.  Not turning it into some kind of crazed witch hunt is too.  But playing with kid-gloves isn’t going to work anymore — in fact, it really hasn’t worked too well to date either.  If we don’t have the stomach to fight this war — which is based on an ideology of hatred and death — then again, we may not survive to debate it.  Take the gloves off in the propaganda arena, and though a few people will scream that their rights were violated, literally millions of lives could be saved in the process.

Summary:  Recruit more Arabic spies, and cut the head off the propaganda machine to make that possible.

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Step 1: Alternative Fuels

The first thing we need to do to win the war on terror is to dramatically reduce our dependence on oil.  We should have been addressing this problem decades ago, and we definitely should have been dealing with it since 9-11, but the past is the past.  Right now, as fast as possible, we’ve gotta figure out a way to stop funding terrorists and renegade psychopath dictators with our oil habit.

Here are my thoughts…

First, let’s all admit that there’s a problem.  Oil companies are extremely greedy, and (although probably not breaking the law) are doing NOTHING to help their country in a time of desperate need.  Actually, they’re hurting us by making every cent they can make, no matter the cost.  Also, US auto makers have a LOT of problems right now.  They are just trying to keep their heads above water, and that doesn’t help them go out on limbs to develop hydrogen fuel cells.

Second, let’s all admit that the American people are extremely self-absorbed, apathetic and disinterested in these topics.  If people really cared and were really patriots, then they’d at least do a little conserving.  But there is NONE.  US demand for oil was up 0.6% in the 2nd quarter or 2nd quarter 2005.  I know it’s hard to cut back on gas usage and run our homes a little cooler in the winter and hotter in the summer, but we have to do it.  I rant a bit more on this in a previous entry

I’d love for the US oil companies and auto makers do more voluntarily.  I’d love to see the American consumer help voluntarily.  But neither of these is going to happen.  History proves it.  So, here’s what I propose…

It’s very rare that you’d hear me advocate for more government involvement in industry / business, but in this case I do.  The feds should mandate that by 2010 any car that gets less than 50 miles to the gallon will have a 100% sales tax added to it.  So, you can make all the hummers you want or buy all the hummers you want, but you’re gonna pay through the nose.  The mpg minimum goes up by 10 mpg every year until 2015.  Starting the year after that, any car that runs on oil AT ALL will be taxed exorbitantly.  At the same time, release funds into government grants for alternative fuel research to incent companies to start changing.  Also, I’d even pay higher taxes personally to help with the infrastructural conversion.  But we’ve gotta appoint someone to oversee this thing that has some integrity, or we’ll have another big dig on our hands.  That might be the hardest part of the whole plan.

In addition to reducing our gasoline needs, we need more energy in this country that doesn’t come from coal or oil.  The quick answer in my mind, build more nuclear power plants.  I would support programs like the Nuclear Power 2010 initiative.  I would specifically commission 20 new plants to be built in the US, which would translate to a 19.2% increase in the power generated by Nuclear plants (currently there are 104 nuclear power plants in the US, generating 97.4 gigawatts of electricity.  In 2001, the US consumed about 3.3 TW of power.  So, nuclear power is accounting for only 3% of our power requirements.  This has got to go way up.  No commercial nuclear power plant has come online since 1996.  Adding 20% to that capacity would take 97.4 up to 116.1 GW, but we’d still just be getting started.  Still, less oil.  Fusion research should also be well-funded, and we should tap whatever oil we have domestically.  Also check out an interesting whitepaper I found on wind energy — another possibility for helping to decrease our demand on oil.

I searched and searched for a breakdown on the usage of oil in the US (how much for gas, how much for heating our homes, how much for industry, etc) but couldn’t find it.  Regardless, I’ve gotta believe that use of oil in gasoline is a huge part of our oil habit.  Kicking it sends billions less to Saudi Arabia and Russia and Venezuela and Algeria and all kinds of other places.  And there’s plenty of oil coming in from other much-more-friendly places, such as Mexico, Canada and Iraq (now) to keep us in business in the other areas   Combine this with some smart energy decisions (above), and we’re heading in the right direction.  (Not to mention that we’ll be better off environmentally.)

Once we’ve nipped our oil habit in the bud, there’s a distinct ripple effect on the war on terror…

We are currently importing 1,443,000 barrels of oil a day from Saudi Arabi (my example of the hour).  At $75/barrel, that’s $108.2M a DAY into the hands of people who say they’re our friends and happily fund terrorism to destroy us.  $108M a day translates to $39.5B a year.  Nice.  I wonder how many AK-47’s and parts for nuclear weapons that buys.  Down in Venezuela, they only get $31.6B of our money each year with which to run off and buy weapons from Russia.  And on top of it, their government owns one of our five largest oil companies (Citgo).

And at the end of the day…  If we stop sending them billions, that’s billions less that they’re pumping into the apposing side in this war.  If angry militant muslims are running around the Middle East with pitchforks hating America, that’s one thing.  If they’re running around with nukes, whose construction we funded, that’s totally different.  Let’s cut off the gravy train here!

So, this is no silver bullet.  None of these 10 steps will be.  But it’s an important one, and the fact that it’ll take years means we should start yesterday.  Hence, it’s first.  What do you think?

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How to Win the War on Terror in 10 Incredibily Difficult Steps

This is the cover letter for my new series of ten posts…  How to Win the War on Terror in 10 Easy Incredibly Difficult Steps.  I’m not a seer.  Not a general.  Haven’t even read SunTzu’s “The Art of War“.  Definitely not infallible.  But I’ve gotten so worked up listening to the news / talk radio in the last few months, that I felt I had to address this topic.  Plus, I’m counting on the folks reading this to school me up. 

I’ll share one step at a time, and build a comprehensive indexish list here as I publish each entry.  Ready…  Go…

First let’s get the long-term stuff started.  We should have been doing this stuff for decades, but we haven’t, so we have to start now.  Each of these will take a good 10 years to get in place…

This next batch is the immediate phase; tactical moves we can make right now to start making a difference…

The last two are longer-term, but they can’t be started until the previous 6 steps are taken…

  • Step 9: xxx
  • Step 10: xxx

My 10 steps are all pretty clear to me already, so even before I’m done posting these (one every couple days), feel free to comment on what your 10 step plan would be to get us out of this mess we’re in with the war on terror.  Can’t wait for the great discussion I know this will engender.

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